Paçô ARC vs Moreira do Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+306%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paçô ARC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PON
6 - 0
PAC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PAC
3 - 1
PER
74%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 3
PAC
23%
22%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
PAC
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moreira do Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AAR
4 - 1
MLI
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
0 - 3
PON
11%
18%
70%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 3
NEV
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
MLI
48%
23%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
LAN
17%
20%
64%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +2 |