Paçô ARC vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paçô ARC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COU
3 - 1
PAC
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 1
MEL
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
3 - 1
PAC
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 2
NEV
11%
17%
72%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 2
PAC
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
PON
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PER
2 - 3
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MON
5 - 1
CAM
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MLI
3 - 1
MON
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |