Pacific vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
7º
5º
28
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 0
HFX
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HFX
0 - 1
PAC
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
YOR
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 1
VAL
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
HFX
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 18 | 46 | 0 |