Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ATS
0 - 1
PAC
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
PAC
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
PAC
3 - 1
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAC
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 2
SAN
38%
24%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
QRO
4 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PUE
4 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |