Copa MX Quarter-finals

Global 3-7

Pachuca vs Toluca analysis

Pachuca Toluca
81 ELO 78
13.5% Tilt 12.3%
373º General ELO ranking 332º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.1%
Pachuca
22.9%
Draw
22%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
Pachuca
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22%
Win probability
Toluca
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pachuca
+2%
+22%
Toluca

ELO progression

Pachuca
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pachuca
Pachuca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
44%
25%
31%
81 82 1 0
02 Feb. 2020
PAC
Pachuca
2 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
40%
26%
34%
81 86 5 0
29 Jan. 2020
PAC
Pachuca
3 - 1
Venados FC
MER
78%
15%
7%
80 65 15 +1
26 Jan. 2020
LEO
León
3 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
55%
21%
23%
81 83 2 -1
22 Jan. 2020
MER
Venados FC
1 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
13%
19%
68%
81 64 17 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2020
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
41%
27%
33%
78 77 1 0
02 Feb. 2020
TOL
Toluca
3 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
78 82 4 0
29 Jan. 2020
TOL
Toluca
3 - 2
Atlas FC
ATS
59%
21%
19%
78 73 5 0
26 Jan. 2020
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
37%
27%
37%
78 76 2 0
23 Jan. 2020
ATS
Atlas FC
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
32%
26%
43%
78 72 6 0