Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
3 - 1
PAC
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 0
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
3 - 1
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LEO
3 - 0
PAC
55%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
PAC
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 3
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATS
59%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ATS
2 - 1
TOL
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |