Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 1
QRO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 1
PAC
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAC
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 1
VER
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |