CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
IND
1 - 2
PAC
19%
25%
56%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
PAC
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 1
COM
80%
13%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
5 - 0
EST
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SNL
2 - 3
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 2
COC
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |