Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
JAG
0 - 1
PAC
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
LAN
0 - 3
PAC
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 0
VER
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
PAC
5 - 1
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 1
PAC
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
SLO
3 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 2
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |