Liga MX Finals - Apertura Final
Global 1-2
Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
1 - 1
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PUM
0 - 1
PAC
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUM
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
4 - 1
ATP
44%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 1
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 2
COL
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |