Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
EST
0 - 5
PAC
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 0
ATS
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 1
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
AME
2 - 3
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 1
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SNL
1 - 3
TOL
28%
25%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |