Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
DEF
1 - 0
PAC
18%
23%
60%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
PAC
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
PAC
2 - 1
LEO
69%
18%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 1
PAC
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAZ
44%
24%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 2
EST
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |