Pablo VI vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pablo VI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 2
PAB
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
PAB
6 - 1
SRB
36%
22%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
ELT
3 - 0
PAB
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAB
1 - 1
AND
49%
21%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BAD
6 - 2
PAB
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
SRB
48%
24%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ELT
0 - 1
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
AND
47%
24%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
ANT
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |