4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 2-2
Penya Jove Roquetes vs UE Martinenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Jove Roquetes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 2
PAJ
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAJ
2 - 1
PUI
56%
19%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
PAJ
2 - 1
PUI
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PUI
1 - 1
PAJ
46%
20%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
PAJ
4 - 1
OLV
87%
9%
5%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UE Martinenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 2
PAJ
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MON
0 - 3
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
MON
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MAR
5 - 3
RUE
81%
11%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
OLV
2 - 5
MAR
10%
14%
76%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |