FK Turnov vs Ústí nad Orlicí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
15º
9º
62
2º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Turnov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HFK
3 - 1
PNI
36%
21%
43%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PNI
3 - 1
DVR
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RMS
0 - 1
PNI
56%
19%
25%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PNI
2 - 1
LET
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
PNI
1 - 5
VEL
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Ústí nad Orlicí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
UST
0 - 1
FKC
17%
20%
64%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UST
2 - 2
BEN
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UST
1 - 3
DOB
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HFK
0 - 2
UST
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
DVR
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |