P-Iirot vs Ilves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
9º
8º
20
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
P-Iirot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EPF
3 - 2
PII
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
PII
0 - 4
FCJ
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GRI
3 - 1
PII
49%
23%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
PII
3 - 1
TAM
51%
21%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
PII
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 1
EPF
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCJ
5 - 0
ILV
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
GRI
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 0
ILV
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 0
ILV
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |