Ozark vs Demize NPSL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ozark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
OZA
0 - 3
TUL
10%
16%
75%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
OZA
1 - 1
WIC
9%
15%
77%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SLA
5 - 0
OZA
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
OZA
2 - 1
LRR
6%
12%
82%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +4 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 1
OZA
90%
8%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Demize NPSL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 1
TUL
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 0
SLA
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
WIC
1 - 1
DEM
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
DEM
0 - 2
LRR
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
DEM
2 - 1
WIC
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |