Overpelt vs Ternesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OVE
0 - 3
OOS
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LYR
1 - 3
OVE
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OVE
2 - 2
KSC
44%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
OVE
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OVE
0 - 1
DUF
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TER
0 - 5
SIN
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WIT
4 - 2
TER
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
SPO
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TER
0 - 3
AVE
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
OOS
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |