Overpelt vs Merksem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 3
OVE
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OVE
1 - 3
HAD
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
KFC
4 - 1
OVE
23%
22%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
OVE
3 - 0
AVE
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
TER
0 - 6
OVE
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Merksem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
LYR
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SIN
1 - 3
MER
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |