Ovarense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 0
OVA
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 1
OVA
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
OVA
1 - 2
IMO
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 0
OVA
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VST
5 - 2
OVA
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
ACA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |