Outes vs Val do Ulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
OUT
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 2
SIG
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 3
OUT
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 1
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 1
BAY
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Val do Ulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 2
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CRM
1 - 0
VAL
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
SOF
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SON
1 - 4
VAL
63%
20%
17%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
TOR
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |