Outes vs Cordeiro CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
OUT
41%
23%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
OUT
3 - 2
FLA
60%
20%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SIG
3 - 4
OUT
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OUT
2 - 0
MAL
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
OUT
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cordeiro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
COR
5 - 0
CAR
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CRM
2 - 3
COR
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
SOF
55%
22%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SON
4 - 0
COR
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COR
4 - 1
HIJ
13%
18%
68%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |