Outes vs Buño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
OUT
2 - 2
VOL
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
FIS
1 - 1
OUT
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OUT
1 - 0
SLV
44%
23%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 4
OUT
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
POR
0 - 6
OUT
18%
20%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Buño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BUÑ
4 - 1
CEE
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 0
BUÑ
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BUÑ
1 - 1
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FIS
1 - 0
BUÑ
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
BUÑ
46%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |