Outes B vs Lira CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OUT
3 - 1
CAM
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 2
OUT
55%
20%
25%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OUT
0 - 0
CAB
43%
21%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MUX
4 - 1
OUT
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OUT
0 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lira CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 3
LIR
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIR
2 - 3
MUX
17%
18%
65%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SEA
2 - 0
LIR
29%
22%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIR
1 - 1
NAN
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
LIR
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |