Outes B vs Castrelo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SEA
1 - 1
OUT
30%
23%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OUT
2 - 0
AME
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Castrelo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
CAS
41%
21%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
LIR
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
NAN
36%
23%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MUX
3 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |