CD Ourense vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
CDO
0 - 1
RCF
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ALB
2 - 0
CDO
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CDO
2 - 0
MER
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
RCF
1 - 1
CDO
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
LEG
5 - 0
CDO
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
RMC
0 - 1
MLL
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
ALB
2 - 2
RMC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 3
CDB
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 1
ALM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMC
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |