CD Ourense vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ATB
0 - 1
CDO
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CDO
0 - 0
MST
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
LEG
1 - 0
CDO
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CDO
3 - 0
FUE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDO
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MST
0 - 3
RAY
13%
23%
65%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
RAY
2 - 1
FUE
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PON
1 - 2
RAY
47%
24%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
RAY
1 - 0
OVI
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
RAY
1 - 2
MEL
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |