CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ULP
1 - 1
CDO
62%
24%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VEC
2 - 1
CDO
67%
21%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CDO
0 - 1
RAY
20%
26%
54%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RMC
4 - 0
CDO
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CDO
0 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LUG
4 - 1
VEC
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RAY
2 - 2
LUG
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 4
RMC
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
DEP
1 - 1
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 1
FUE
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |