CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
RMC
1 - 2
CDO
68%
18%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 1
PON
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 2
CDO
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 1
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDO
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 3
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LAN
3 - 2
LUG
69%
18%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 0
ULP
23%
29%
48%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CUL
4 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZAM
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |