CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
CDO
1 - 0
UPL
36%
32%
32%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
SPB
4 - 1
CDO
56%
27%
17%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
CDO
1 - 0
CDG
56%
27%
18%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
CUL
4 - 1
CDO
78%
16%
6%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
CDO
2 - 3
ZAM
44%
32%
24%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
LUG
5 - 0
CAM
63%
24%
14%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
GIN
4 - 2
LUG
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
LUG
3 - 0
NOI
63%
23%
14%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
CAC
2 - 1
LUG
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
LUG
1 - 0
TUR
60%
24%
17%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |