CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 2
CDO
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDO
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CDO
1 - 1
GRA
82%
15%
4%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ARO
0 - 0
CDO
27%
35%
38%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
CDO
5 - 2
UPL
74%
19%
7%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUG
50%
28%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LUG
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
LUG
2 - 0
UPL
54%
27%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 1
LUG
62%
24%
13%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
LUG
4 - 3
ENS
30%
35%
35%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |