CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CUL
1 - 1
CDO
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
CDO
1 - 0
BAS
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
CDO
1 - 0
ONT
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
CDO
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
CDO
4 - 2
RCF
69%
21%
10%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDG
63%
25%
12%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
CUL
4 - 0
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
CEL
31%
27%
41%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
LUG
3 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
37%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
47%
29%
24%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |