CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 1
CDO
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
CDO
2 - 3
PON
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
CEL
2 - 2
CDO
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
CDO
1 - 2
ARO
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
CDO
3 - 1
DEP
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
LUG
8 - 1
PON
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
ACF
7 - 2
LUG
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LUG
4 - 1
ARO
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
LUG
4 - 0
LEM
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
SAN
3 - 2
LUG
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |