CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
LEM
1 - 2
CDO
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
CDO
1 - 1
SAN
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
CEL
2 - 1
CDO
71%
16%
14%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -4 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
CDO
3 - 1
SMA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
CDO
3 - 1
RAC
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 1
DEP
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
MAR
5 - 0
LUG
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -3 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAL
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
VAL
4 - 1
LUG
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
LUG
3 - 1
ARO
81%
12%
8%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |