Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-1
CD Ourense vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
PON
1 - 0
CDO
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CDO
2 - 0
FUE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SSR
2 - 1
CDO
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CDO
1 - 0
PPJ
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
SPB
1 - 1
CDO
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
GET
0 - 1
LEG
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
ATB
1 - 2
GET
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
GET
1 - 0
MER
30%
31%
39%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CDT
0 - 0
GET
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
GET
1 - 0
REC
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |