UD Ourense vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALO
0 - 0
UDO
32%
27%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UDO
3 - 0
UPH
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDO
4 - 0
PON
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
UDO
63%
23%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDO
4 - 1
ARO
27%
24%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
VIV
1 - 1
ARO
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARO
2 - 1
ART
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SOM
0 - 1
ARO
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
ALO
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDO
4 - 1
ARO
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |