Ourense B vs Toen FS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 4
OUR
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
OUR
4 - 2
MER
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OUR
0 - 1
CHA
68%
16%
16%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BUB
0 - 3
OUR
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
OUR
0 - 2
VIL
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TOE
5 - 1
BUB
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 2
TOE
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TOE
2 - 0
ALL
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BMI
1 - 0
TOE
79%
12%
8%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TOE
3 - 0
ROC
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |