Oural SD vs Ferreira C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oural SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 3
OUR
11%
17%
73%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
OUR
1 - 2
PAL
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
OUR
10%
15%
74%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
OUR
3 - 0
SLA
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CLU
0 - 3
OUR
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferreira C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
FRI
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
FER
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SLU
74%
15%
10%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 2
FER
52%
22%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FER
5 - 2
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |