OsPa vs RoPo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
76.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+387%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
8º
19
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
1º
|
19 | 38 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 27 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 25 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 24 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 23 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 23 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 15 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 10 |
10º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OsPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OPS
2 - 0
OSP
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
OSP
1 - 0
PSK
8%
12%
81%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PSK
2 - 2
OSP
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
KAJ
2 - 0
OSP
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
TER
1 - 2
OSP
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
RoPo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ROP
5 - 0
ROI
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TER
0 - 4
ROP
15%
16%
70%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KAJ
2 - 4
ROP
37%
20%
43%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
ROP
35%
20%
44%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ROP
0 - 1
OPS
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |