AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
7º
6º
44
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 0
OUL
39%
24%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 3
ILV
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HON
4 - 1
OUL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 1
KOO
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 1
HJK
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
INT
1 - 3
HJK
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 2
QAR
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
HJK
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 2
IFK
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |