Ougrée vs Etoile De Faimes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
16º
14º
23
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SFR
3 - 2
OUG
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OUG
3 - 1
SPC
43%
25%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ELS
5 - 0
OUG
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OUG
1 - 4
DUG
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 1
OUG
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile De Faimes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EDF
0 - 0
WAN
26%
20%
54%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
3 - 0
EDF
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EDF
0 - 5
EUP
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAU
1 - 0
EDF
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EDF
2 - 0
HOM
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |