Otura CF vs Pd La Herradura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otura CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PUR
3 - 0
OTU
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OTU
1 - 3
HUE
21%
22%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
5 - 0
OTU
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OTU
2 - 2
CDA
19%
19%
63%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OTU
1 - 1
MON
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pd La Herradura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HUE
2 - 1
PDL
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PDL
1 - 3
CDA
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 2
PDL
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PDL
3 - 1
CCF
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PDL
2 - 0
CFS
68%
19%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |