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13 OCT 2019 23:00

Full-time

Otura Atletico vs Parque Nuevo Granada analysis


13	ELO	8
-7.2%	Tilt	-5.5%
24725º	General ELO ranking	43646º
7842º	Country ELO ranking	10137º
ELO win probability

64.5%

Otura Atletico

18.5%

Draw

17.1%

Parque Nuevo Granada

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

64.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%

18.5%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

18.5%

17.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Otura Atletico

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Oct. 2019	EST 1 - 2 OAT 28% 23% 49%	12	7	5	0
29 Sep. 2019	OAT 4 - 0 CAS 35% 22% 43%	11	11	0	+1
22 Sep. 2019	OAT 4 - 1 UDL 35% 23% 42%	9	10	1	+2
15 Sep. 2019	ESC 0 - 2 OAT 44% 23% 34%	7	7	0	+2
14 Apr. 2019	COL 5 - 0 OAT 81% 12% 7%	7	13	6	0

Matches

Parque Nuevo Granada

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Oct. 2019	EST 2 - 4 ESC 62% 19% 19%	11	9	2	0
29 Sep. 2019	CFC 0 - 3 EST 74% 15% 11%	9	13	4	+2
22 Sep. 2019	EST 2 - 2 VDP 52% 21% 28%	9	7	2	0
15 Sep. 2019	SAN 2 - 0 EST 86% 9% 5%	9	16	7	0