Ottawa Fury vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
OTT
1 - 1
CAR
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PIT
1 - 0
OTT
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
5 - 0
OTT
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
4 - 1
OTT
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
OTT
1 - 1
NSC
17%
19%
65%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 2
PIT
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 1
CIN
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 1
LOU
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
CIN
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
CIN
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |