OTP vs OPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
10º
10º
10
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JPS
8 - 1
OTP
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
OTP
1 - 6
TP4
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 0
OTP
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
OTP
2 - 4
GBK
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
OTP
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OPS
1 - 2
SJJ
27%
19%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
OPS
2 - 3
GBK
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
OPS
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TP4
5 - 0
OPS
57%
20%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
OPS
0 - 1
JBK
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |