OTP vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
10º
10º
17
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SJJ
3 - 2
OTP
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
OTP
0 - 4
JBK
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 0
OTP
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OTP
6 - 2
OPS
37%
21%
42%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JPS
8 - 1
OTP
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
KUO
27%
20%
53%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
TP4
3 - 2
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
OPS
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
GBK
11%
17%
72%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SJJ
4 - 4
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |