Otago University vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
1 - 0
OTU
22%
19%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OTU
2 - 1
MOS
40%
21%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
4 - 1
OTU
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
WNK
1 - 5
OTU
30%
21%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
3 - 0
OTU
52%
20%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MOS
0 - 4
GIA
37%
22%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
5 - 3
WNK
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
4 - 1
OTU
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
QUE
0 - 2
GIA
18%
19%
63%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
3 - 0
OTU
52%
20%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |