Otago United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 3
AUC
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 0
HAW
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
2 - 2
OTA
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
TEA
5 - 0
OTA
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
CAN
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 1
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
TEA
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MAN
5 - 2
WAI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |