Oswestry vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oswestry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
CWM
3 - 0
OSW
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LLA
11 - 0
OSW
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
LID
3 - 1
OSW
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
OSW
0 - 1
CWM
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
OSW
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
CON
2 - 0
CEF
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
CON
1 - 3
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
LID
2 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |