Oswestry vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oswestry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
OSW
1 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LID
0 - 0
OSW
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
OSW
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
OSW
0 - 2
CAE
21%
22%
56%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
RHY
1 - 1
OSW
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
BAR
6 - 0
CEF
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CWM
0 - 0
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CEF
0 - 1
HAV
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
TNS
2 - 0
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CEF
3 - 2
POR
51%
23%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |