Oswestry vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oswestry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CON
5 - 1
OSW
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
OSW
1 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ABE
3 - 0
OSW
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
OSW
0 - 1
LLA
39%
24%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
OSW
1 - 0
LID
32%
27%
40%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
POR
6 - 2
CEF
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CAE
4 - 2
CEF
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
29%
24%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
OSW
0 - 0
CEF
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |